Archive for August, 2008

In Theo we Trust

Trying to decide who was to blame for the falling out between the Red Sox and Manny Ramirez is probably what it was like for my parents when my brother, sister and I would argue about doing the dishes. I’ve been accused of being gullible in the past about my analysis of all things Red Sox, but it really appears to be that Manny is primarily to blame for the disintegration of his standing in Boston. In the past, his actions appeared to be harmless (peeing in the green monster, high-fiving a fan, his dreadlocks, staring down home runs) his discretions this year appeared to take it one step further. Getting in to a fight with Kevin Youkilis in the dugout was unnecessary while the incident involving the team’s traveling secretary was reprehensible, indicative of someone who has been treated with kid gloves for too long, his public comments against the team were asking for trouble and his attempts to quit on the team appear to be more real than imagined.

This is not to say that the front office is blameless. Their habit of conducting these affairs in the media is both tired and unprofessional. The Red Sox have done a good job of evaluating their aging talent over the past five years to ensure that they cut players loose before their declines. Decisions made on Johnny Damon, Pedro Martinez and Nomar Garciaparra have saved the team millions of dollars and several games in the loss column where the Yankees would have just thrown around some more multi-year contracts (see Posada, Jorge). Through their successes on the field, the front office no longer needs to wage this PR battle every time a popular player is about to leave the team, and yet it is done anyway.

As it is, there is no way that Peter Gammons’ hit piece two days before the deadline was written without the front offices blessing. (A quick side note: the article demonstrates the downside to Gammons’ brilliance as a baseball writer. What makes him great is the love of the game that permeates from the page as you read, but when he writes something negative his emotion comes across as high-minded and preachy.) In addition, the front office is able to rely on the lower levels of the local media to eviscerate Manny’s reputation further to the general public. These hack writers, such as Gerry Callahan and Dan Shaughnessy, are more than happy to oblige as they have never warmed to Manny, primarily because he never played nice with the media, because he’s an easy target, and because he is black. Maybe Manny deserved to have his reputation trashed for essentially quitting on the team, but the front office should be cognizant of the eventual lowbrow form that its PR campaigns take on.

In baseball terms I’m not so sure that this trade is really that big a deal. Of course we got the obligatory stories on the Yankees’ celebrating when Manny was traded, but the Red Sox offense has always been built on its depth as much as it has on the two pillars in the middle. The secondary level of players in the lineup, like Dustin Pedroia, Kevin Youkilis, Mike Lowell and J.D. Drew, is what has really made the team’s offense stand out over the past five years. Its also worth noting that the Red Sox got an All Star caliber outfielder back for Manny, and just because Jason Bay has wallowed in obscurity for his entire career, does not take away from everything that he brings to the plate. I am also led to believe that his defense and base runner are an upgrade from Manny. While people are up in arms over the fact that the Red Sox had to give up two young players just to get ready of Manny, the fact is that the two players were given up in order to get a player like Jason Bay back in the deal. At the end of the season when Manny walked, there would have been no way that the team could have gotten Bay and his team friendly contract for Brandon Moss and Craig Hansen.

The Red Sox made the best of a bad situation at the trade deadline and if their plethora of underperforming players (Varitek, Ellsbury, Beckett, Okajima and Delcarman) can even come close to their expected levels of production, they will be in the drivers seat for one of the two playoff spots that will come out of the AL East. In Theo We Trust.

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MLB Trade Deadline - AL Recap

Let’s start by talking about this picture taken from MLB.com today. Just look at the love in those eyes. And what’s better, the picture or the accompanying text below “LA’s skipper must figure out how best to ride his new slugger to postseason success”? Ahhh… 5th grade homophobic humor.

Anyway, this article got me thinking about what the contenders did to improve their teams this year. I’ll start by taking a look at the American League:

AL EAST
Tampa Bay Rays (1st place, 63-44)
Trades:
None.
Analysis: They had a chance to get Jason Bay, but that seems to be as close as they got to making any moves. This shouldn’t be a surprise. It’s the first time they’ve been in a position to make the playoffs and they should be happy to be there - they’re a team built for the future. And regardless, in Baseball Prospectus’ postseason odds report, the Rays make the playoffs in 85% of one million simulations of the rest of the season. That makes it a sure thing, right?

Boston Red Sox (2nd place, 61-48, 3 GB)
Trades:
Hahahahaha. Ahem. I mean… OF Manny Ramirez to Los Angeles (NL), OF Brandon Moss and RHP Craig Hansen to Pittsburgh for OF Jason Bay
Analysis:
I don’t think the Red Sox should lose too much sleep over Brandon Moss and Craig Hansen. They’re good players, but not elite prospects. Manny, though… They lost their HR leader, his .398 OBP and his 68 RBIs at the beginning of August while they’re hanging onto the Wild Card lead. Bay is as much as they wanted to get back in any Manny trade and is a very good pickup, but suddenly the middle of that lineup doesn’t scare me quite as much. Ortiz and Bay are hitting a combined .195 against lefties this season. Helloooo, Damaso Marte…

New York Yankees (3rd place, 59-49, 4.5 GB)
Trades:
RHP Ross Ohlendorf, OF Jose Tabata, RHP Jeff Karstens, RHP Dan McCutchen to Pittsburgh for OF Xavier Nady and LHP Damaso Marte
RHP Kyle Farnsworth to Detroit for C Ivan Rodriguez
Anaylysis:
YES!! He’s gone he’s gone he’s gone he’s gone… Okay, Farnsworth was having a decent season, but this is awesome. The Yankees got Pudge and rid themselves that gun-toting, camo-underwear-loving dickhead who had the audacity to cry when he learned he was traded. Attention Mr. Farnsworth: WE ALL HATED YOU!! Seriously. The guy has given up 26 home runs in three seasons as a Yankee, and I’m pretty sure I’ve predicted five of them - one in person. That, my friends, shows a lack of confidence.
As for the Nady-Marte deal, the Yankees needed a right-handed bat and they got a decent one in Nady. Sure, he’s having a career year, but I’ll take him as an option in the outfield for a season and a half. Marte fills a huge vacancy in the bullpen as a left-handed reliever. They traded four prospects, but the Yankees farm system is full of “eh” pitchers right now, while Tabata has had personal issues this year. Good move. Two very good moves, actually.

AL CENTRAL
Chicago White Sox (1st place, 60-47)
Trades:
RHP Nick Masset and INF Danny Richar for OF Ken Griffey Jr.
Analysis: The White Sox say they “definitely [are] going to have to hit more in the second half” to make the playoffs. For a team that is 3rd in the AL in runs scored per game, that tells me you don’t have a great team. Or you play in a crummy divisi– yeahhhhh. The worst current division leader in baseball (in my opionion) felt they had to do something. So they got Griffey. Adding Griffey to a lineup that already includes Jim Thome, Nick Swisher, Carlos Quentin, Paul Konerko and Jermaine Dye doesn’t frighten me. But it can’t hurt, right?

Minnesota Twins (2nd place, 60-48, .5 GB)
Trades: None.
Anaylsis: The Twins continue to surpass expectations in the Central. They’ll soon get Liriano back, and I assume they didn’t have much to give up to get a bat. With a few good young players already in the majors, I can’t blame them for staying put.

Detroit Tigers (3rd place, 55-53, 5.5 GB)
Trades:
C Ivan Rodriguez for RHP Kyle Farnsworth (hehe)
Analysis: The Tigers are in desperate need for what Joe Morgan would describe as “consistecy”. More so, they needed bullpen help. Farnsworth fills that need. He won’t single-handedly solve their pitching problems, but right now there aren’t too many people who can.

AL WEST
Los Angeles Angels (1st place, 68-40)
Trades:
1B Casey Kotchman and RHP Stephen Marek for 1B Mark Teixeira
Analysis: Damnnnnnnn. Kotchman is good but damnnnnnn. The best team in baseball went out and got one of the best first basemen in baseball. October’s gonna be tough for AL teams that don’t employ the rally monkey.

I’ll talk about Oakland in tomorrow’s NL recap when I focus more the Blanton trade. And no one cares about Texas, do they?

Finally, for a little preview of tomorrow’s NL recap, I’ll offer you this, the goofiest MLB profile picture ever. Keep in mind he’s also 6’ 11”. See you tomorrow. (Can’t wait!!!)

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